SHOULDISELLYET RESEARCH · JULY 2026 RELEASE · INDEX v1.0

Housing warning signs: July 2026

The Warning-Sign Index is under review and is not being published this month. The aggregates on this page are unaffected.

Not a researcher? Check your own ZIP code instead — one plain answer for your market, free.

The Warning-Sign Index is under review and is not being published this month. The aggregates on this page are unaffected.

The Warning-Sign Index is under review and is not being published this month. The aggregates on this page are unaffected.

Warning share by state, July 2026

Warning-share figures are withheld while the index is under review: every month on record was computed on a prior data vendor's basis, and the series resumes when the first month on the current basis closes.

Crossed the danger line this month

Warning-share figures are withheld while the index is under review: every month on record was computed on a prior data vendor's basis, and the series resumes when the first month on the current basis closes.

We do not publish the list. Naming individual markets and their ratings is the same distribution the CSV was withdrawn for — 47 of the 55 ZIPs this table used to show were ones the site itself was declining to rate. Per-ZIP data is available on request for specific stories: press@shouldisellyet.com.

Where the warning signs are gathering

Metros still rated HOLD in most of their ZIP codes — but whose signals are moving toward the danger lines fastest. Score is the median approach-velocity across the metro's scored ZIPs; months-to-line is how long until the nearest signal crosses at the current 3-month pace. Computed from time to sell, price trend history (the remaining signals join as their history accumulates).

MetroStill HOLDScoreΔ monthMonths to line
Appleton, WI60%1.83+1.83<1
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH71%1.52+1.52at the line
Springfield, OH73%1.22+1.223.9
Coeur d'Alene, ID60%0.89+0.89at the line
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ62%1.41+0.87<1
Gettysburg, PA82%2.00+0.85at the line
Michigan City-La Porte, IN60%0.69+0.69at the line
Dover, DE62%1.55+0.671.4
Racine-Mount Pleasant, WI83%0.62+0.622.6
Manitowoc, WI64%2.00+0.58at the line

In text, quotable with citation: in July 2026, the warning signs were gathering fastest in Appleton, WI — 60% of its scored ZIP codes still rate HOLD, with the median nearest signal less than a month from its danger line at the current pace.

Your state, in one paragraph

Warning-share figures are withheld while the index is under review: every month on record was computed on a prior data vendor's basis, and the series resumes when the first month on the current basis closes.

Download the data

License

Use with attribution ("Source: ShouldISellYet (shouldisellyet.com)"). Files carry ShouldISellYet's derived indicators only — readings, shares, changes — never upstream raw metrics. Redistributing them as a dataset, or using them to build a competing data product or service, is not permitted; full terms in LICENSE.txt.

Methodology, briefly

A ZIP is scored when at least two of its market signals are known; the Warning-Sign Index is the share of scored ZIPs whose reading is WATCH or ACT. This index is computed on a frozen four-signal basis (months of supply >4, prices falling >2% y/y, time-to-sell up >40%, inventory up >50%) so the series stays comparable month to month; the site's current per-ZIP readings use three signals over active-listing data with recalibrated lines, backtested against FHFA outcomes. Pre-2026 history is computed from a prior data vendor's sold-home statistics with identical thresholds. Full detail, definitions, and the versioned changelog: methodology.